By Gary Dunkum (@garyusgc14)
MLB Play of the Day: Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers
The Line: Tigers Run line First 5 (-105)
Sports Betting Play Of The Day Breakdown
The upstart Tigers are clinging to a one-game lead for the last WC spot in the American league. Tonight, AL Cy Young award front-runner Tarik Skubal heads to the mound as Detroit hosts the Tampa Bay Rays.
It’s the first game of the final six contests for the Tigers. They own a one-game lead in the wild card race with six games to go.
Skubal: Cy Worthy
Over the last month, Skubal has an incredible 2.77 xFip along with a massive 30% strikeout rate and only a 1.5% walk rate. Over the last month versus lefties, the TB rays have a paltry .081 ISO and 75 wRC+ against lefties.
The left-hander’s betting odds to win the AL Cy Young is an unbettable -5000. He’s dominated this season and will make the first of his final two regular season starts tonight.
Tigers vs Pepiot
The Rays start right-hander Ryan Pepiot in Detroit. Pepiot is coming off a STRONG 12-strikeout performance against the Red Sox. I’m always one to bet on regression coming off such a big game. Since 9/1 the Tigers have the third highest wrc+ against righties at 123.
Betting on the Tigers
The Tigers have an edge on the mound by sending the sensational Skubal to start. They’re on a roll and with a one-game lead in the AL Wild Card race, they have urgency. I’m backing Detroit in the first-five inning betting market.
The MLB Play: Detroit Tigers run line (-.5) First 5 innings at -105
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