By Sean Fox
The AFC South is an interesting division with three semi-quality teams and one bottom feeder. Here’s our AFC South futures betting advice:
Houston Texans: A Repeat Performance?
Let’s start in Houston. I’ll preface this by saying I am not a huge CJ Stroud fan. I think he is a good quarterback just not the superstar that the media is already proclaiming him as.
He also played at Ohio State. Name the last great Ohio State NFL quarterback. You can’t.
Stroud has solid weapons and I love Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs and the rest of his wide receiver corps, but the offensive line is projected to start two players that started zero games last year. The schedule is much harder, especially the end of the season when they play at the Jaguars, have a bye, then play the Dolphins, Chiefs, Ravens, and Titans. They could easily go 1-4 to end the year.
The Futures Betting Play: Nico Collins o975.5 rec yards
The 2nd round pick finished the season on fire last year including a 250+ yard game and continued to shine for weeks as he became CJ Stroud’s favorite target.
Jacksonville Jaguars: New Weapons For Trevor Lawrence
The Jaguars lose Calvin Ridley but I think that his departure becomes addition by subtraction. Christian Kirk had a super season when he was the lone weapon but he was hit or miss last year.
I do love Brian Thomas. Thomas is going to be the wide receiver everyone is going to be talking about six weeks into the season. I think Trevor Lawrence is good enough. He isn’t Jesus in cleats as he was at Clemson, but a Kirk Cousins -ype career is more likely than not. The Jags defense has improved, especially at the linebacker position.
Looking at the Jaguars schedule, they finish the year with the Texans, Titans, Jets, Raiders, Titans, and Colts.
Both the Texans and Jaguars are good teams and to bet an over 8.5 and 9.5 wins, respectively is ok, but I won’t be shocked if everyone sweeps the Texans and splits the other 4 games.
Indianapolis Colts: In Richardson We Trust?
The other quality team is Indianapolis. If they can actually return to health this year, they are a lot closer to the other two teams than people realize. In Johnathan Taylor, the Colts have one of the best running backs in the league who will only get better playing with a running QB who is just as dangerous. I am not a big fan of quarterback Anthony RIchardson and personally I think he is a year away from being a year away. And that’s if he shows improvement.
Regardless of what you think of him as a thrower, like almost all the young quarterbacks, he is a rushing weapon that defenses have to account for. Also, if he gets injured, Joe Flacco is there to pick this team up just as Gardner Minshew did last year. The Colts get an easier schedule than our two contenders, especially Texans. Indy’s end of year schedule features the Patriots, a bye, Denver, Tennessee, the Giants and Jacksonville to finish the season. That last game against Jacksonville could determine the division and I’ll take the +310 with the Colts now instead of waiting, though this is another bet that you can take in week 3 at a better price as their record could be 1-2.
The Futures Betting Play:
Colts to win the Division +310
Bet recap:
Colts to win the Division (+325)
Nico Collins over 975.5 rec yards (-110)
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